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Advertising & Communications

Advertising research for the campaign you only get to launch once.

Making the ad costs a fraction of putting it in front of people, and the media is committed long before anyone knows whether the creative earns it. A route that wins the room can read as noise in the feed, or as something else entirely in another market. We test the work while it can still change, and we read the campaign afterwards closely enough to say why it moved.

  • Senior specialists
  • H3™ method
  • Anthropology-led

What’s at stake

In the review meeting, every route looks like the winner.

  1. “The room loved it.”Judged by insiders
  2. “The message is clear.”Heard as something else
  3. “It scored well in the pre-test.”Liked, not remembered
  4. “The media plan has reach.”Seen, then skipped
  5. “Sales went up, so it worked.”Credit for the wrong cause

Depth is what keeps it standing.

Our lens

We read an ad the way a stranger does.

The people who made the ad know the brief, the strategy and the thirty versions that came before it. The person scrolling past knows none of that and gives it two seconds, next to everything else on the screen and everything they already think about your brand. What they take away in those two seconds is what the media budget pays for. That’s where our H3™ method earns its place: three lenses, fused into a single reading you can act on.

H3The H3 fusionWhere the three lenses become one

Many firms combine methods. We fuse them, cross-checking every finding across all three lenses.

It answers What is actually true, and how confident can we be?

How the fusion works

What we do

Four ways we find out what your advertising does to the people who see it.

Each one answers a different question, from the routes you’re still choosing between to the effect you need to explain once the media has run.

Advertising & Communications | 01 of 04

Creative and ad testing

Testing for ads and creative routes before they go live, so you know which one works, why, and what it will teach people about your brand.

Why this is a challenge

A single score tells you which route won but not why. The same thirty seconds can lead on attention and still tell people your brand thinks they’re failing.

This is what we do

We test the work against the questions your campaign actually has to answer, in every market it runs in, and give you the number and the reason behind it while the work can still change.

Our example, not client work

Which of these three routes works best?

A bank is taking its budgeting app into Spain, Mexico and Germany. The agency came back with three creative routes: three different ads from the same brief, all still storyboards, and only one gets produced. Each carries the nickname the team uses for it. All three were tested with 900 people in each market.

Pick a question below and the three routes reorder by how they did on it.

Every question is measured differently, and answered by a different lens. Hover or tap a route to see how it does across all five.

Ask a different question

What each lens does

  • Human Stories. In-depth interviews: what people say when you sit down and ask them why.
  • Heartbeat. Social listening: what people say to each other about the ad when nobody is asking.
  • Hard Evidence. A survey at scale: how many people, out of how many, and with what certainty.

All three lenses means the question needs all three read as one, and that fusion is the H3™ method.

Measured as Unprompted recall the next day Share of viewers who could describe the ad without being shown it again
1
Route A | "The rescue"
The ad opens on the problem, then the brand arrives and fixes it.
"Take control of your money."
84%
Highest recall of the three, and the only route people could describe unprompted a day later.
3
Route B | "The nudge"
The ad stays low-key, and the product just removes one small chore.
"One less thing to think about."
41%
Quiet by design, and quiet gets expensive when nobody is looking for you yet.
2
Route C | "The mirror"
The ad names what the person already does, and joins in.
"You already budget. This just keeps up."
58%
Picked up fast by people already in the category, missed by everyone outside it.

Attention is one of the easiest things to buy, and one of the easiest to mistake for effectiveness. Route A leads here and comes last on every other question.

An illustration of how we read creative, built for this page. In a real project the questions come from the decision in front of you, and every score and every line comes from people in your market.

Is this for you?

Tick the ones that sound familiar.

Two or more sound familiar? That’s usually where our first conversation starts. Tell us the decision you’re facing

What you get

  1. 01Each route measured against the questions your campaign has to answer, not one index
  2. 02The line, frame or image that costs you, named
  3. 03What to change before production, and what to leave alone
  4. 04How the work holds up on the fifth viewing, and in each market
  5. 05A recommendation you can defend in the room

Advertising & Communications | 02 of 04

Campaign effectiveness

Effectiveness research for campaigns that carried real budget, so you know what worked, what didn’t and what’s worth paying for again.

Why this is a challenge

Markets move on their own: rivals go quiet, promotions run, seasons turn. All of it lands on the same tracker line as your campaign.

This is what we do

We separate what your work did from what the year was already doing, with more than one source of evidence, and give you the part that’s yours and the size of it.

Our example, not client work

The tracker says consideration rose 6.2 points. How much of that was the campaign?

Same bank, three months after the launch campaign ran in Spain, Mexico and Germany. Consideration is the share of people who would think of the brand the next time they need a bank. It rose 6.2 points, and the deck celebrated all 6.2.

Three other things were happening in those same weeks.

Step through it. Each step takes back a piece of the six points and shows what caused it.

6.2 points of consideration, everything the tracker picked up
Yours: 1.8 points

The whole bar is the 6.2-point rise. Each block is the part of that rise one cause is responsible for. Blocks that turn pale have been claimed by something other than the campaign, and the colour of the top edge is the lens that caught it.

This is the number in the deck. It’s real and it’s what the tracker measured, but on its own it can’t tell you what to do next.

An illustration of how effectiveness work is put together, built for this page. In a real project the causes come from your own market and calendar, and every figure carries its margin of error.

Is this for you?

Tick the ones that sound familiar.

Two or more sound familiar? That’s usually where our first conversation starts. Tell us the decision you’re facing

What you get

  1. 01The lift separated from what the market was doing anyway
  2. 02What media bought and what the creative earned, sized apart
  3. 03The competitor and category moves that shaped your result
  4. 04Results broken out by market, because they rarely behave the same
  5. 05What to repeat, cut or rebuild before the next flight

Advertising & Communications | 03 of 04

Media and channel research

Research that weighs each channel by what it does for your message as well as by its reach, so your media budget goes to the places where people are ready to listen.

Why this is a challenge

Media plans tend to rest on two numbers, reach and cost. Neither says what happens to your message once it arrives, and the same audience is open in one place and defensive in another.

This is what we do

We find where your audience is, what state they’re in when they get there, and what each channel is worth for the job you’re hiring it to do.

Our example, not client work

Which channels deserve the money?

Same bank, planning the next flight across Spain, Mexico and Germany, with seven channels and one budget. The media agency split it on reach and cost. Drag the slider and the same budget moves to where the evidence puts each channel.

Drag the slider from one end to the other. Hover or tap any channel to read what changed.

The thin line on each bar is where the plan put that channel The bar itself is the share of budget as you move the slider
Drag to move the budget from the plan to the evidence

The thin mark stays where the plan left each channel. As you drag, the bar moves to where the evidence puts it, so every channel shows how far it travelled and in which direction. The colour under each channel name is the lens that produced its weighting.

Seven channels, one budget, two ways of splitting it. Three channels lose money here and four gain it, and none of that comes out of a reach and cost calculation.

An illustration of how channel work is put together, built for this page. In a real project the weights come from your audience in your markets, and each one arrives with the evidence behind it.

Is this for you?

Tick the ones that sound familiar.

Two or more sound familiar? That’s usually where our first conversation starts. Tell us the decision you’re facing

What you get

  1. 01Where your audience is, and what state they are in when they get there
  2. 02What each channel means to them, which isn’t the same as what it delivers
  3. 03The channels you’re underpaying for, and why
  4. 04How the mix changes by market, with the reason behind each change
  5. 05A weighting you can hand to the media agency

Advertising & Communications | 04 of 04

Communications strategy

Research-based strategy for what your communication should say, to whom and in what order, so your campaign builds on beliefs your audience already holds.

Why this is a challenge

A message is a chain: the promise on top only works if the beliefs underneath are already in place. When one is missing, the budget goes on arguing for it.

This is what we do

We map the chain, test each link with the people you’re talking to, and hand you the order things have to be said in.

Our example, not client work

What has to be true before anyone believes the offer?

Same bank, same three markets. The promise at the top is the line the brand wants to own. Under it sit the three beliefs that have to be in place for that line to mean anything, each one tagged with its current state and the lens that measured it.

Open a belief to see what would move it. Only one opens at a time.

The promise "Money you can actually see"
Only works if all three of these are true
The order this produces
  1. 01Prove that seeing it changes something. Nothing above this link holds until this one does, so it goes first and it takes the largest share of the work.
  2. 02Repair plainness with a demonstration, not a claim. The belief is damaged rather than absent, so it needs showing rather than saying.
  3. 03Spend nothing on belonging. It’s already there, so use casting to keep it and put the money elsewhere.

Three beliefs sit under the promise. One is already held, one is damaged, and one was never there. The order of the campaign is decided by the belief that’s missing, not by the promise on top.

An illustration of how message architecture is put together, built for this page. In a real project the beliefs come out of your category and your markets, and each state carries the evidence that produced it.

Is this for you?

Tick the ones that sound familiar.

Two or more sound familiar? That’s usually where our first conversation starts. Tell us the decision you’re facing

What you get

  1. 01The chain of beliefs your promise depends on, written out
  2. 02Which links are held, damaged or missing, and the evidence for each
  3. 03The order things have to be said in, and what goes first
  4. 04The words your audience uses, so the message sounds like them
  5. 05What changes by market, and what stays the same everywhere

Who runs your project

Senior anthropologists on the work, from the first question to the final reading.

Boutique has a practical meaning here: Abdo López and Norah Walsh, both social anthropologists, work on every project, and nothing is handed to juniors once the contract is signed.

2017
Founded in Asturias, Spain
25
Countries with local fieldwork
38,000+
Participants in our studies
100,000+
LinkedIn Learning learners
Social & Cultural AnthropologistAbdo LópezCo-founder & CEO
Read about Abdo
Social & Cultural AnthropologistNorah WalshCo-founder & Head of Research
Read about Norah

“The riskiest assumptions are the ones everyone in the room already agrees on. Our job is to find out whether they’re true before you bet on them.”

Abdo López and Norah Walsh

Straight answers

Questions we get about Advertising & Communications

Something else on your mind? Ask us directly. You’ll get an answer from the people who would run the work.

Can you test the creative before we commit the media budget?

Yes, and that’s the point at which the work is worth the most. Production costs a fraction of amplification, and the media is usually committed long before anyone knows whether the creative earns it. We test routes at whatever stage they exist, from a written line to a storyboard to a finished cut, and we read them for meaning as well as for score. Turnaround depends on how many routes, how many markets and how deep the reading needs to go, and we give you the timeline alongside the quote. If your production date is fixed, it shapes the plan from the start rather than turning up as a problem halfway through.

What does a project like this cost, and how do you scope it?

Every quote is built for the project, because the variables move a great deal. It depends on how many routes or assets go into the test, who has to see them and how hard that audience is to recruit, whether that means general consumers, a category audience or B2B decision makers, how many markets, how many participants, how deep the reading goes, how urgent it is, and what you need in your hands at the end. Testing three routes in one market and reading a full campaign across three are different projects with very different numbers. Most of our projects sit in the six-figure range. We scope after a proper conversation about the decision you’re making, and you get a fixed price and a timeline before any work begins.

Our agency already tests the creative. What does HIPOPOTESIS add?

The agency and the research answer different questions, and both are needed. An agency optimises the piece it made, which is the right instinct, but it’s hard to be objective about your own work. We read why that piece means what it means to the people watching it, in their market and in their words, and we do it without a stake in which route wins. We also build on the testing you already have rather than starting from zero: if there are scores, we use them as a starting point and go after the part they can’t explain, which is usually why the number came out that way and what it will cost you on the fifth viewing.

Why did the campaign that worked at home fail in another market?

Usually because the work carried an assumption that travelled badly. Not the language, which is the easy part, but what the piece takes for granted about the person watching it: what is polite, what counts as help, what a brand is allowed to say about your money or your body or your family. A route that reads as supportive in one market can read as supervision in the next, with nothing changed but the audience. In practice you rarely need to abandon the campaign: the fix is to find which element carries the assumption and rebuild that element, a much smaller job when you find it before the media runs.

How do you know how much of the result was actually the campaign?

By taking out everything else that was happening in the same weeks. Categories grow on their own, competitors go quiet, promotions run, seasons turn, and all of it lands on the same tracker line as your campaign. Some of that is visible in the data, and some of it isn’t: a rival cutting spend for six weeks shows up in listening long before it shows up in a model. So we separate the lift into what the market was doing anyway and what your work moved, and then split that second part between what the media plan bought and what the creative earned. A number you can’t reproduce is a good year, and a number you can reproduce is a plan.

How do you test something as subjective as creative without flattening it?

By not asking one question and calling it the answer. A single score forces attention, comprehension, respect and wear-out into the same number, and the routes that win on one of those often lose on the others. So we test against the questions your campaign actually has to answer, and each one gets the lens that can answer it. How many people took it in is a quantitative question, what it made them feel about themselves only surfaces in conversation, and whether it survives the fifth exposure shows up in how people talk about it online, unprompted. Read together, the three lenses give you a recommendation with its reasoning attached, which is what lets a creative director argue with it properly instead of being handed a verdict.

Do you deliver research, or the strategy that comes out of it?

Both, and the connection between them is what the firm is built on. We call it insight-led strategic intelligence because research earns its cost when it makes the strategy sound. In this category that means you get the evidence and what to do with it: which route to produce and what to change in it first, which line is costing you, where the message has to start because the belief underneath it isn’t there yet, which channels deserve more of the budget than the plan gave them. The point of all of it is that your company loses less time and money going in the wrong direction.

Who will actually be working on our project?

Abdo López and Norah Walsh lead every project in person, from the framing session to the final reading, and everyone working alongside them is senior, with more than a decade in the field. Around that core we build the team for the project. The right moderator for a creative session in Mexico isn’t the right one for Germany, and the specialist who reads social conversation isn’t the one who runs the survey, so we select the experts, the partners and the technology that fit the question, the technique, the country and the industry. There’s no handover to a junior once the contract is signed, and that’s the main reason we stay small.

You know what you want to say. Now let’s find out what people will hear.

Tell us the decision you’re carrying: three routes and a split room, or a campaign nobody can explain. You get a fixed price and a timeline before anything starts.

  1. You get in touchBy email, through the form or on a video call, whichever suits you.
  2. We ask for the briefEvery detail we need, so the proposal is shaped around what you actually require.
  3. We design the proposalThe approach that answers your objectives, with the timeline and the budget.
  4. Approval, and we beginYou sign off, the paperwork is settled, and the work starts.
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  • Senior researchers only. No juniors.
  • End to end. Design, fieldwork, reporting.
  • No AI automation. Any use, disclosed.